Archegos: The $36 Billion
Weekend Wipeout

A former Tiger Cub. A "family office" nobody watched. Infinite leverage through swaps.
The fastest destruction of a personal fortune in market history.

$200M Started With (2013)
$0 After 48 Hours

The Disaster at a Glance

  • $36 billion fortune evaporated in a single weekend
  • Used Total Return Swaps to hide positions from regulators
  • Controlled ~10% of some companies without anyone knowing
  • Prime brokers lost $10+ billion combined
  • Credit Suisse alone lost $5.5 billion
  • Bill Hwang now faces federal criminal charges
The Invisible Whale
"Archegos" means "one who leads the way" in Greek. Bill Hwang led the way... right off a cliff.
01

The Man Who Lost More Money Than Anyone in History

Before we dive into the wreckage, you need to understand Bill Hwang.

Sung Kook "Bill" Hwang

Former Tiger Cub β€’ Family Office King β€’ Now Defendant

Bill Hwang was a protΓ©gΓ© of Julian Robertson, the legendary founder of Tiger Management. The "Tiger Cubs" who trained under Robertson became some of the most successful hedge fund managers in history. Hwang was one of them β€” until he wasn't.

In 2012, Hwang's hedge fund Tiger Asia pleaded guilty to wire fraud charges for insider trading. He paid $44 million in penalties and was banned from managing outside money.

For most people, that would be the end. For Bill Hwang, it was just the beginning.

"The SEC told him he couldn't manage other people's money anymore. So he just managed his own β€” and turned $200 million into $36 billion."

β€” Wall Street's Darkest Irony

In 2013, Hwang converted Tiger Asia into a "family office" called Archegos Capital Management. This distinction was crucial β€” family offices that manage only the family's wealth face almost zero regulatory oversight.

No SEC filings. No 13F disclosures. No position limits. No one watching.

The Regulatory Loophole
A convicted insider trader was allowed to build a $36 billion leveraged empire because he technically wasn't managing "other people's money" anymore. Nobody was watching.
02

The Secret Weapon: Total Return Swaps

Here's where it gets devious.

If Hwang had simply bought stocks, he would have had to file regulatory disclosures when positions exceeded 5% of a company. Everyone would know what he owned.

Instead, he used a financial instrument called Total Return Swaps. And this changed everything.

Archegos
Pays Interest + Any Losses
Cash Collateral
Stock Returns
Prime Broker (Bank)
Holds the Actual Stock

Here's how it worked:

Complete Invisibility

The BANK owns the shares on paper. Archegos just gets the economic exposure. No filing requirements.

Insane Leverage

With only 10-15% margin, Archegos could control $10 worth of stock with every $1 of capital. 8-10x leverage.

Multiple Banks

Archegos used 6+ prime brokers. None knew the others existed. Each thought they had the full picture.

How Hwang Stayed Hidden

No 13F Filings

Family offices with under $100M in certain securities don't file. Swaps don't count.

No 13D/13G Filings

Swaps aren't "beneficial ownership" under old rules. Could own 10%+ invisibly.

Fragmented Counterparties

Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Credit Suisse, Nomura, UBS, Deutsche Bank β€” each saw only their slice.

Family Office Status

Exempt from Investment Advisers Act. Minimal oversight. Maximum freedom.

"Hwang found a legal way to become one of the largest shareholders in multiple companies without anyone β€” the SEC, the companies, or even his banks β€” having any idea."

β€” The Ultimate Stealth Trade
03

The Portfolio: Betting Everything on a Handful of Stocks

Most hedge funds diversify across dozens or hundreds of positions. Hwang did the opposite. He loaded up on just a handful of stocks with massive concentration.

His core holdings were:

VIAC

ViacomCBS

Media Conglomerate
~$10B
~10% ownership
DISCA

Discovery

Media Company
~$8B
Major position
BIDU

Baidu

Chinese Tech Giant
~$5B
Massive bet
TME

Tencent Music

Chinese Streaming
~$3B
Concentrated
GSX

GSX Techedu

Chinese Education (Controversial)
~$2B
High risk

Notice something? Heavy exposure to Chinese stocks and media companies. All sectors that could move violently on news. All highly correlated. Zero diversification.

Hwang's buying was so aggressive that he was actually moving the market. His own purchases drove prices higher, making his positions look even more profitable. A beautiful, dangerous feedback loop.

04

The Trigger: When ViacomCBS Got Greedy

By March 2021, everything looked perfect. ViacomCBS had tripled in value over a few months β€” largely thanks to Hwang's own buying. The stock hit $100.

Then ViacomCBS announced something that sealed Archegos's fate: a $3 billion stock offering.

πŸ“‰ ViacomCBS Stock Price - The Rise and Fall
Jan Feb Early Mar Mid Mar Mar 22 Mar 24 Mar 26 Mar 29

The stock offering meant dilution. Investors hate dilution. ViacomCBS dropped 9% on the announcement. Then 23% the next day.

For a normal investor, this would hurt. For Hwang, leveraged 8-to-1 with concentrated positions? It was nuclear.

"When you're leveraged 8:1 and your biggest position drops 30%, you don't just lose money. You lose EVERYTHING. Then you owe more."

β€” The Math of Destruction
05

The Margin Calls: 48 Hours of Chaos

Thursday, March 25, 2021. The margin calls started coming.

As ViacomCBS and Discovery crashed, Archegos's brokers demanded more collateral. The banks finally realized they had a serious problem.

⏰ Time to Complete Destruction
48
Hours
$36
Billion Lost
From billionaire to bankrupt in a single weekend

What happened next was a prisoner's dilemma played out in real-time:

Friday Night Meeting

Goldman Sachs organized a call with all major banks. Proposal: coordinate an orderly unwind to minimize damage for everyone.

Trust Collapsed

No formal agreement was reached. Each bank knew the first to sell would suffer the least. The game theory was brutal.

Race to Exit

Goldman and Morgan Stanley didn't wait. They started liquidating positions immediately, triggering a cascade.

06

The Fire Sale: When Everyone Runs for the Exit

BLOCK TRADE APOCALYPSE
$20+ billion in stock dumped in a single day. Nothing orderly. Pure chaos.

On Friday, March 26th, Goldman Sachs sold $6.6 billion in block trades before the market opened. Morgan Stanley followed with billions more. The news hit the wire.

ViacomCBS. Discovery. Baidu. Tencent Music. All crashed simultaneously as the forced selling overwhelmed the market. The stocks Hwang had spent years accumulating were dumped in hours.

This is what a forced liquidation looks like:

1
VIAC Drops
2
Margin Calls
3
Forced Sales
4
Prices Crash
5
More Margin Calls

But here's where it gets interesting. Not all banks acted the same way.

Goldman Sachs
~$0 Loss
Morgan Stanley
~$900M Loss
Nomura
$2.9B Loss
Credit Suisse
$5.5B Loss

Credit Suisse didn't sell over the weekend. They thought maybe prices would recover. They thought wrong. By the time they acted, prices had cratered even further.

"In a liquidation, the first seller wins. The last seller loses. Credit Suisse was the last seller."

β€” Lesson in Game Theory
07

The Body Count: Who Lost What

When the dust settled, the losses were staggering:

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­
Credit Suisse
$5.5 Billion
The biggest loser
πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
Nomura
$2.9 Billion
Waited too long
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­
UBS
$861 Million
Mid-pack exit
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Morgan Stanley
$911 Million
Moved fast
πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
Deutsche Bank
~$200 Million
Smaller exposure
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Goldman Sachs
~$0
First to exit

Total bank losses: $10+ billion.

Credit Suisse's losses were so severe that it accelerated the bank's eventual collapse in 2023, when it was absorbed by UBS in an emergency rescue.

$36 Billion Bill Hwang's Net Worth (Wed)
48 Hours
$0 Bill Hwang's Net Worth (Fri)
By the Numbers
$36 billion Γ· 48 hours = $750 million lost per hour
That's $12.5 million vanishing every single minute.
08

The Aftermath: Fraud Charges & Criminal Trial

In April 2022, Bill Hwang and his CFO Patrick Halligan were arrested and charged with racketeering, fraud, and market manipulation.

Prosecutors alleged that Archegos:

Manipulated Stock Prices

Used coordinated buying across banks to artificially inflate prices, creating a false appearance of organic demand.

Deceived Banks

Lied to prime brokers about total positions and exposure. Each bank thought they had the complete picture.

Securities Fraud

Concealed material information from counterparties about the true nature and size of Archegos's positions.

Racketeering

Operated Archegos as a criminal enterprise. RICO charges β€” the same used against organized crime.

In July 2024, Bill Hwang was found guilty on 10 of 11 counts. He faces up to decades in prison.

"Bill Hwang's greed and deception knew no bounds. He built a house of cards on a foundation of lies, and when it collapsed, it took billions of dollars with it."

β€” U.S. Attorney Damian Williams
09

The Brutal Lessons

Archegos's collapse is a masterclass in everything that can go wrong in modern finance:

1

Leverage is a Loaded Gun

8-to-1 leverage means an 12.5% drop wipes you out. Hwang's positions dropped 30%+. The math is unforgiving.

2

Concentration Kills

When your top 5 positions ARE your portfolio, any single thesis failure destroys everything.

3

Regulators Are Always Behind

Total return swaps, family office exemptions β€” the system had massive blind spots that Hwang exploited.

4

Banks Fail at Risk Management

Six major banks gave leverage to the same client without knowing about each other. Basic counterparty risk 101.

5

In a Crisis, Trust Evaporates

Goldman's "coordination call" lasted until Goldman realized they should sell first. Every man for himself.

6

Past Fraud is a Warning Sign

Hwang was convicted of insider trading in 2012. Nine years later, he blew up even more spectacularly. Patterns repeat.

10

The Final Score

Let's tally up the carnage:

Bill Hwang
Personal Destruction
$36 billion fortune β†’ $0 in 48 hours. Convicted of fraud. Facing potential life sentence. From 50th richest American to federal defendant.
Credit Suisse
Institutional Death
$5.5B loss from Archegos. Greensill collapse same month. Stock cratered. Finally absorbed by UBS in 2023 emergency rescue.
Regulators
Playing Catch-Up
SEC now requires swap position disclosures. Family office rules being reviewed. The horse bolted years ago.
The Market
Collateral Damage
Innocent shareholders in ViacomCBS, Discovery, etc. saw stocks crash 50%+ in days. Not because of fundamentals β€” because of forced selling.
The Ultimate Irony
Bill Hwang was a devout Christian who reportedly gave away hundreds of millions to charity. He named his firm "Archegos" β€” Greek for "the one who leads." He led the way to one of the greatest financial disasters in history.

"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. And when you're 8x leveraged in concentrated positions, you can become insolvent in a single day."

β€” The Archegos Lesson

Archegos is a warning about what happens when leverage, concentration, and opacity combine. Hwang wasn't stupid β€” he turned $200 million into $36 billion. But he confused making money with managing risk. In the end, the market doesn't care how smart you are or how much you've made. It only asks: can you survive the bad days? Hwang couldn't.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trading with a proven edge, proper risk management, and emotional discipline is a skill, not gambling. The difference: gambling has negative expected value, skilled trading has positive expected value over time. However, trading without a plan, overleveraging, and following tips is gambling with worse odds than casinos.

Most successful traders take 2-3 years of consistent practice to become profitable. This includes learning, paper trading, losing money on small positions, and developing a personalized system. Studies show only 1-3% of day traders are profitable after 5 years. Expect to pay 'tuition' to the market.

Studies consistently show only 5-10% of retail traders are profitable long-term. SEBI's 2023 study found 93% of Indian F&O traders lost money with β‚Ή1.81 lakh average loss. Day trading is harder - only 1% profitable. The odds improve for swing traders and investors with longer timeframes.

Only consider full-time trading after: (1) 2+ years of consistent profitability, (2) 2 years of living expenses saved, (3) Proven track record through bull AND bear markets, (4) Passive income to cover basic needs. Most successful full-time traders started part-time while employed. Don't burn bridges until you've proved yourself.

Don't Blow Up Like Archegos

Learn risk management from traders who actually survived

Join Free

πŸ› οΈ Power Tools for This Strategy

πŸ“Š Margin Calculator

Use this calculator to optimize your positions and maximize your edge

Try Tool β†’

🎯 Position Size

Track and analyze your performance with real-time market data

Try Tool β†’