The Hunger Games
- Yield doesn't exist in a vacuum — high yield means high risk, always
- When everyone chases the same yields, they bid up prices until returns become negative
- The "safe income" products of today become the blowups of tomorrow
- Retirees, pension funds, and income seekers are the most vulnerable victims
- Every yield-hunting cycle ends the same way: the hunters become the hunted
The Widow's Lament
Mrs. Sharma was 67 years old when her husband died. He left her ₹2 crores — enough, she thought, to live comfortably on the interest for the rest of her life.
In 2010, bank fixed deposits paid 9%. Her ₹2 crores generated ₹18 lakhs per year. Comfortable. Safe. Predictable.
Then interest rates fell. And fell. And fell.
By 2020, FDs paid 5%. Her income dropped to ₹10 lakhs. Uncomfortable, but survivable.
Then someone at the bank introduced her to "high-yield bonds" and "dividend funds" and "structured products" that promised 12%. She didn't understand them. But she needed the income.
"They told me it was safe. They showed me charts. They said 'everyone is doing this.' I just wanted the income I used to have. I lost 40% of my husband's life savings in 18 months."
— Mrs. Sharma, Mumbai, 2022
Mrs. Sharma's story is not unique. It's the story of millions of yield-hungry investors worldwide — retail and institutional alike — who reached for returns they didn't understand and got destroyed by risks they couldn't see.
This is how yield-chasing creates blowups. And why it will keep happening.
The ZIRP Apocalypse
ZIRP — Zero Interest Rate Policy — was supposed to save the economy. Instead, it created a global addiction to risk.
When central banks pushed rates to zero after 2008, they thought they were stimulating growth. What they actually did was force every saver in the world to become a speculator.
Think about what that means practically:
2007: $1 Million
In a savings account earned $55,000/year. Enough to live on.
2021: $1 Million
In a savings account earned $1,000/year. Not enough for rent.
Pension Funds
Promised 7% returns. Getting 1%. Must reach for risk or go bankrupt.
Retirees
Planned retirement on 5% yields. Now must choose: risk or poverty.
ZIRP didn't eliminate the need for income. It just made people desperate enough to take risks they didn't understand.
The Yield Ladder of Death
When safe yields disappear, investors don't give up. They climb. And every rung of the ladder is more dangerous than the last.
The Forced Migration
When bank deposits pay nothing, you move to bonds. When bonds pay little, you move to corporates. When corporates disappoint, you chase junk. Each step feels logical. Each step adds risk you can't see.
The problem isn't that people are greedy. The problem is that they have no choice. A pension fund that promised 7% returns can't survive on 2% yields. A retiree who needs ₹15 lakhs/year can't live on ₹2 lakhs.
So they climb. And the higher they climb, the harder they fall.
The Products of Destruction
Wall Street and Dalal Street are nothing if not creative. When yield-hungry investors come looking, the financial industry always has products ready. Products that look like solutions but are actually time bombs.
Structured Products
"Capital protection with 12% returns!" In reality: complex derivatives that blow up in market stress.
High-Yield Bond Funds
"Steady income from corporate bonds!" In reality: junk debt that defaults in recession.
Dividend "Strategies"
"Live off dividends forever!" In reality: concentrated bets on companies that cut dividends first in crisis.
Credit-Linked Notes
"8% yield backed by corporations!" In reality: you're selling credit insurance without understanding it.
"Every product promising above-market yields is either lying about the yield, lying about the risk, or doing both. There is no exception."
— Chief Risk Officer, Major Asset Manager
Case Study: The FD Alternative That Wasn't
In 2018, a prominent Indian NBFC launched a "Fixed Return Plan" marketed as an "FD alternative" with 12% annual returns. Thousands of senior citizens invested their life savings.
The product literature was beautiful. Professional photos. Charts showing steady growth. Testimonials from satisfied customers. The fine print — which almost nobody read — revealed the truth:
Hidden Risk #1
Money was being lent to real estate developers at 18% — notoriously risky borrowers.
Hidden Risk #2
No deposit insurance. If the NBFC failed, investors would lose everything.
Hidden Risk #3
Lock-in periods meant you couldn't exit when trouble began.
Hidden Risk #4
Arbitration clause meant you couldn't sue if things went wrong.
In 2019, the IL&FS crisis hit. The NBFC's real estate borrowers started defaulting. The "12% guaranteed returns" became 0% returns — and then negative as principal was lost.
The Human Cost
₹91,000 crores in investor money was stuck in NBFC defaults. Many victims were retirees who lost their entire savings chasing 2-3% extra yield.
The Crowding Effect
When everyone chases the same yields, something dangerous happens: the yields compress to nothing while the risks explode.
Consider what happens when yield-hungry capital floods into high-yield bonds:
Buying Somebody Else's Yield
When you chase yields that have already compressed, you're not buying income — you're buying price risk. The moment yields rise back to normal, your principal crashes.
This is the cruel math of yield-chasing: the late arrivers get all the risk and none of the reward. By the time the masses discover a "high yield" opportunity, the yield has already been compressed by early buyers. What remains is pure risk.
2022: The Graveyard of Yield Chasers
In 2022, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates at the fastest pace in 40 years. What followed was a massacre of every yield-chasing strategy that had "worked" for a decade.
Long-Term Treasuries
TLT ETF crashed 40%
The "safest" asset class
Corporate Bonds
LQD ETF crashed 25%
Investment grade "quality"
High-Yield Bonds
HYG ETF crashed 20%
Plus defaults starting
Dividend Stocks
Many "dividend aristocrats" down 30-50%
Income evaporated
"Investors spent 13 years being trained that reaching for yield had no consequences. In 2022, they learned that all those risks were real — they were just on a delayed fuse."
— Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, Blackrock
The saddest part? The very people who could least afford losses — retirees, pension funds, conservative savers — were the ones most exposed. They had been pushed into risk by ZIRP, and now they were being destroyed by ZIRP's reversal.
The Pension Fund Doom Loop
Nowhere is yield-hunger more dangerous than in pension funds. These institutions have promised returns they cannot deliver — and the gap is destroying them.
The Promise
Pension funds promise 7-8% returns to beneficiaries. These promises are legally binding.
The Reality
Safe assets yield 2-4%. The gap must be filled somehow.
The Reach
Pensions pile into private equity, hedge funds, junk bonds, real estate — anything promising higher returns.
The Reckoning
When these risky assets crash, pension funds become underfunded. Benefits get cut. Or taxpayers bail them out.
In September 2022, UK pension funds nearly collapsed when interest rates rose sharply. Their yield-chasing strategies — using leverage to amplify bond returns — backfired catastrophically. The Bank of England had to intervene to prevent systemic failure.
The Ticking Time Bomb
Global pension underfunding is estimated at $400+ trillion. This is not a mistake. It's mathematics. The yield-chasing of the past has created obligations that cannot be met.
India's Yield-Hunting Danger
India has its own yield-hunting crisis brewing. As bank FD rates fell from 9% to 5%, Indian savers migrated to:
NBFC Fixed Deposits
Higher rates. Lower safety. IL&FS, DHFL, and others already collapsed.
Real Estate Schemes
"Guaranteed rental income." Guaranteed until the developer defaults.
Debt Mutual Funds
Franklin Templeton shuttered 6 funds in 2020. ₹26,000 crore locked.
Cryptocurrency "Staking"
20% APY "yield" that evaporated when platforms collapsed.
"Every two years, a new product emerges promising Indian retirees their 'old' 9% FD returns. Every two years, some of them blow up. But the hunger never dies."
— SEBI-Registered Investment Advisor
The Rules of Survival
If you need income from investments, here's how to not become a casualty:
Accept Lower Returns
If risk-free rates are 5%, that's what you should expect. Anything more comes with strings attached.
Understand the Source
"Where does this yield come from?" If you can't answer, don't invest. High yield always means high risk.
Avoid Complexity
Structured products, credit-linked notes, inverse ETFs — if you need a PhD to understand it, skip it.
Laddered, Not Concentrated
Spread your fixed income across maturities. Never lock everything in one product or timeframe.
The Ultimate Question
Before chasing any yield, ask: "If this blows up, what happens to my life?" If the answer is "I'm ruined," the yield isn't worth it — no matter how high.
The Hunger That Never Dies
Yield-hunting will never stop because the need for income never stops. Retirees need to eat. Pension funds have obligations. Insurance companies have payouts.
And so the cycle will continue:
Rates Fall → Hunger Rises → Products Emerge → Crowding Builds → Crisis Hits → Destruction
Then rates fall again. And the hunt resumes.
The financial industry will always create products that promise to satisfy the yield hunger. These products will always work — for a while. Long enough to attract massive capital. Long enough for the originators to collect their fees.
Then they'll blow up. And new products will emerge. And the cycle will repeat.
"The yield-hungry investor is Wall Street's favorite customer. They're desperate enough to buy anything and trusting enough to believe anything. They're the permanent source of alpha for everyone else."
— Former Investment Bank Managing Director
The Only Protection
Accept that in a low-rate world, you cannot have both high yield AND safety. Choose one. The people who got destroyed chose to pretend they could have both.
The hunger for yield creates the blowups that destroy yield. This is not a bug in the financial system. It's a feature.
The yield-hunters always become the hunted. The only question is when.