Monte Carlo Simulation

🎲 Trade Simulator

Will your trading strategy survive? Run 1,000 simulations based on your win rate and risk/reward to see probability of profit, max drawdown, and risk of ruin.

Your historical win percentage
Average profit per winning trade
Average loss per losing trade
Consider "ruined" if capital drops to this %
💰
0%
Profitable Simulations
📉
0%
Hit Ruin Level
📊
0%
Avg Final Return
🎯
0
Expectancy (R)

📈 Equity Curves (Sample of 50)

Each line is one possible outcome of your trading

1000 simulations complete

📊 Final Return Distribution

How your returns are distributed across all simulations

📈
0%
Median Return
🏆
0%
Best Case (95th %ile)
⚠️
0%
Worst Case (5th %ile)
📉
0%
Avg Max Drawdown
🎲
0
Avg Longest Win Streak
💀
0
Avg Longest Lose Streak

☠️ Risk of Ruin

Probability of hitting your ruin level

Risk of Ruin
0%
0% Safe ✅ 25% 50% Risky ⚠️ 75% 100% ☠️

💡 Insights & Recommendations